Spatial analysis and study of Tele-connection patterns of drought in central Iran

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Ph. D Student Climatology in Yazd University

2 Professor Climatology, Yazd University

3 Associate Professor Climatology, Yazd University

4 Ph. D Student Climatology, Sistan & Baluchestan

5 M.S. Climatology in Yazd University

10.29252/aridbiom.7.1.51

Abstract

In This research, considering peripheral circulation approach, drought periods during the 22years (2013-1992) in 21 synoptic stations located in Kerman, Yazd and Isfahan provinces, were calculated using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) annually. Tele-connection pattern data extracted from NCEP|NCAR site and were investigated of relationship between major droughts in the region and Tele-connection patterns based on correlation and multivariate regression model. Totally, about 37.42% of the changes Drought Index to SPI in Isfahan and around 51.09 % SPI changes in Kerman and 42.17 % SPI changes in Yazd are exhibited by patterns. Scandinavia Pattern (SCA) in Esfahan and East Atlantic Pattern (EA) in Kerman and Tropical Southern Atlantic (TSA) in Yazd, as the most effective pattern of annual SPI changes, were exhibited in Central Iran.

Keywords

References

[1]. Azizi, GH.  (2000). El Nino and drought - wet periods in Iran. Geographical Research, Article 6, 38, P 71-84, (in Farsi).
[2]. Asakereh, H. (2011). Basics of statistical climatology, Zanjan University publications, (in Farsi).
[3]. Darand, M. (2014) Iran drought monitoring with Palmer Drought Severity Index and its relation with tele-connection Atmospheric-ocean patterns. Geography Research Quarterly, (4) 115, P 67-82, (in Farsi).
[4]. Dinezio, P. (2011). Mechanism of Tropical Pacific Climate change: Beyond the Bjerkenes Feedbeck, PhD Dissertation of University of Miami, scholarly Repository.
[5]. Fiorillo, F., Guadagno F.M.) 2010(. Karst spring discharges analysis in relation to drought periods, using the SPI. Water Resour. Manage. 24:1867–1884.
[6]. Ghavidel Rahimi, Y., Hatamizarineh, D., & Rezaey, M. (2012). Investigation on North Sea-Caspian Tele-connection Pattern Effect on Rainfall Fluctuations on South Caspian Sea,  Geographical Sciences Applied Research, (13) 31, P 29-46, (in Farsi).
[7]. Ghavidel Rahimi, Y., Farajzadeh, M., & Kakapor, S. (2014). Investigation on North Sea-Caspian Tele-connection Pattern Effect on Autumn Rainfall Fluctuations in West and Northwest Regions of Iran. Journal of Geography and Planning, Article 10, (18) 49, P 217-230, (in Farsi).
[8]. Ghayoor, H. A., Asakereh, H. (2001). A study of the effect of tele-connection on Iran temperature a case study: the effect of North Atlantic Oscillation and Southern Oscillation on the monthly temperature change in Jask. Geographical Research, (17) 1, 93-113, (in Farsi).
[9]. Ghayoor, H., Khosravi, M. (2001). Impact of EI Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the summer and autumnal precipitation anomalies in South East of Iran. Geographical Research, (16)3, P 141-174, (in Farsi).
[10]. Guttman, N.B. )1999(. Accepting the standardized precipitation index: A calculation algorithm. JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 35: 311-322.
[11]. Halbian, A.H., Mohammadi, B. (2012). The relation of monthly temperature of some sample stations in Iran with different ENSO indices. Geographical Space, 12 (38), p 1-19, (in Farsi).
[12]. Hejazizadeh Z., Javizadeh S., Mousavi M. (2010). The examination of climatologic drough trend and its impacts on wheat crop in Boushehr, Quarterly Geography(Iranian Geographical Association), 8, Number 24, pp 27-45, (in Farsi).
[13]. Khodagholi, M. yaghmaei, L. and Saboohi, R. )2011(. Teleconections signal of Meteorology ENSO precipitation fluctuations in the province, The Seventh National Conference of Watershed Enginering. ((in Farsi)
[14]. Khosravi, M., (2005). A Survey on the Relations of the Northern Hemisphere Large Scale Circulation Patterns with Sistan & Baluchestan Annual Droughts. Geography and Development, 3: 167-188, (in Farsi).
[15]. Khosravi, M. (2006). The research of effecting the tele-connection patterns on the continuous droughts winter in Sistan and Baluchestan. Journal of Geograghy and Regional Development, 4: 24-57, (in Farsi).
[16]. Khorshiddoust, M., Ghavidel Rahimi, Y., (2007). Assess the impact of the ENSO Phenomenon on seasonal variability of rainfall in East Azerbaijan province using Multivariate ENSO Index. Geographical Research, 57: 15-26, (in Farsi).
[17]. Khorshiddoust, M., Ghavidel Rahimi, Y.  (2009). The Clarification of Monthly Precipitation Fluctuations in Ahar Station in relation to the Tele-connection Patterns. Geographical Journal of Territory Sarzamin, (5) 20, 65-81, (in Farsi).
[18].  Kutiel, H. (2011). A Review on the Impact of the North Sea–Caspian Pattern (NCP) on Temperature and Precipitation Regimes in the Middle East, Environmental Earth Sciences, Survival and Sustainability, Book Chapter, Part 7, Pages 1301-1312.
[19]. Masoodian, A., Akbari, T. (2007). The role of tele-connection patterns around the Northern Hemisphere's temperature, Research Bulletin of Isfahan University, (22) 1, 117-132, (in Farsi).
[20]. Nasimi A., Mohammadi Z. (2014). Vulnerability of Yazd Province in drought using Standardized Precipitation index and Geo-statistical Method Water Engineering, 7(20), 79-90. (in Farsi).
[21]. Rahimzadeh, F. (2012). Statistical Methods in Meteorology and climatology studies, Hossieni publications, (in Farsi).
  [22]. Rimkus, E., Kazys, J., & Valiukas, D. (2013). The atmospheric circulation patterns during dry periods in Lithuania, OCEANOLOGIA, 56 (2), p. 223–239.
[23]. Shirmohammadi, Z., Ansari, H., Alizadeh, A. & Mohammadian, A., (2012), The Relationship Between ENSO Index and Seasonal Extreme Rainfalls in Khorasan Provinces, J. of Water and Soil Conservation,
19(1), p 61-79, (in Farsi).
[24]. Salahi, B., Khorshiddoust, M., & Ghavidel Rahimi, Y. (January 2008). Connection oceanic atmospheric circulation fluctuations North Atlantic with drought in East Azarbaijan. Geographical Research, (60)8, P 147-156, (in Farsi).
[25]. Serrano, S.M., Moreno J.I) .2005(. Hydrological response to different time scales of climatological drought: An evaluation of the standardized precipitation index in a mountainous Mediterranean basin. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sc. 2:1221-1246.
[26]. Turkes, M., Erlat, E., (2005). Climatological responses of winter precipitation in Turkey to variability of the North Atlantic Oscillation during the period 1930–200. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 76: 31-40.
  [27]. Upperbrink, J. (1997). Seasonal climate prediction’ Science, 277, P 1952.
[28]. Wallace, J M; Guzzler, D. S., (1981). Teleconnections in the Geo-potential Height Field during the Northern Hemisphere Winter. Monthly Weather Review, 109, 784-812.
[29]. Yetemen, O., Yalcin.T. (2009). Climatic parameters and evaluation of energy consumption of the Afyon geothermal district heating system, Afyon, Turkey. Renewable Energy, 34, 706–710.
[30]. Yosoufi, N., Hejam, S. (2011). The study of ENSO phenomena effect on climatic factors, temperature and precipitation Case Study: Qazvin plain. Geographical Space Quarterly, 39, P 195-210, (in Farsi).
[31]. Zare Abyaneh, H., Bayat Varkeshi M. (2012). Effect of ENSO Phenomenon on Monthly Seasonal Temperature Variations of Country Half South. Physical Geography Research Quarterly, (44) 2, P 64-87, (in Farsi).
[32]. Zhaoliang, P., Wang, J., Bennett, C., Prafulla, P., Ziru, W. (2014). Seasonal precipitation forecasts over China using monthly large-scale oceanic-atmospheric indices. Journal of Hydrology, 519, P 792–802.
Journal of Arid Biome
Volume 7, Issue 1
November 2017
Pages 51-65

Files

Share

How to cite

Statistics