تحلیل فضایی و بررسی روابط الگوهای پیوند از دور با خشکسالی‌های ایران مرکزی

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی دکتری مخاطرات طبیعی، دانشگاه یزد

2 استاد اقلیم شناسی، دانشگاه یزد

3 دانشیار اقلیم شناسی، دانشگاه یزد

4 دانشجوی دکتری اقلیم شناسی، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان

5 کارشناسی ارشد جغرافیای طبیعی، اقلیم شناسی در برنامه ریزی محیطی، دانشگاه یزد

10.29252/aridbiom.7.1.51

چکیده

در این پژوهش با تکیه بر رویکرد محیطی به گردشی، دوره‌های خشکسالی در بازه زمانی 22 ساله (2013 - 1992) در سطح 21 ایستگاه همدید استان‌های کرمان، یزد و اصفهان با استفاده از نمایه SPI در مقیاس سالانه محاسبه گردید. داده‌های الگوهای ارتباط از دور استخراج و بر اساس روش‌ها و مدل همبستگی و رگرسیون چند متغیره ارتباط بین خشکسالی‌های عمده ی منطقه و این الگوها بررسی شد. بر اساس نتایج، در مجموع سالانه حدود 42/37 درصد تغییرات شاخص خشکسالی SPI استان اصفهان و 09/51 درصد تغییرات شاخص خشکسالی SPI استان کرمان و 17/42 درصد تغییرات شاخص خشکسالی SPI استان یزد به وسیله الگوها تبیین می‌گردد. در پایان، الگوهای چندمتغیره اسکاندیناوی (SCA) در استان اصفهان و الگوی اطلس شرقی (EA) در استان کرمان و الگوی حاره ای جنوب اقیانوس اطلس (TSA) در استان یزد به عنوان مؤثرترین الگوها تغییرات SPI سالانه را در ایران مرکزی توجیه می‌نمایند.
 
واژگان کلیدی: پیوند از دور؛ شاخص استاندارد بارش؛ کریجینگ؛ مدل‌های رگرسیون؛ ایران

کلیدواژه‌ها


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